Wall Street opened on a mixed note Monday, with the broader market adding to recent gains but technology shares under renewed pressure, as investors balanced extending a rally against a backdrop of steadily rising Treasury yields.
On Friday, major benchmarks ended a mixed session with the Dow Jones Industrial Average jumping by nearly 300 points and the S&P 500 Index also inching to a new high, bolstered by the signing of a new $1.9 trillion stimulus bill that's poised to spur consumer spending and ignite economic growth. Most Americans are poised to receive $1,400 stimulus checks, which began arriving over the weekend.
Still, Washington's aggressive spending spree, and super-accomodative monetary policy, has focused growing attention on runaway deficit spending — which is at least part of the reason why government borrowing costs have begun to spike, even as the Federal Reserve remains committed to fostering growth through lower yields and higher inflation.
Last week, the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield spiked to a pre-pandemic high around 1.6%, up about 50 basis points in a month. Another warning sign has emerged via Bitcoin (BTC-USD), where prices over the weekend topped $60,000, a new record high before paring those gains Monday.
In a note to clients on Monday, analysts at Oppenheimer underscored that "government bond prices tend to suffer as economies exit a recession, while equities tend to benefit from an improvement in economic growth that is expected in a recovery, and which can be reflected in revenue (sales) and earnings (profit) growth for businesses."
The firm added: "As the exit process from the pandemic moves ahead notwithstanding normal speed bumps and setbacks typical when exiting a major crisis—more will be revealed as to how efficient or inefficient the latest tranche of rescue stimulus will be in getting the economy over the hurdles that lie ahead."
On Friday, Goldman Sachs economists projected that the fiscal rescue package would give the economy even greater impetus in 2021, estimating gross domestic product would expand by 6% in the first quarter. For that reason, markets will closely watch remarks this week from Fed Chair Jerome Powell for hints about whether the central bank is growing concerned about moves in the bond market, and an economy that could overheat.
However, Goldman noted that "Fed officials are unlikely to see much of a problem [with rising rates] at a time when financial conditions remain easy, activity is picking up, and powerful growth impulses are set to support the economy all year."
Meanwhile, technology stocks have underperformed the broader market, as the gradual reopening of states and localities — and a COVID-19 mass vaccination effort that's gathering steam — has encouraged investors to rotate out of so-called "stay at home" trades favoring big names like Amazon (AMZN), Netflix (NFLX), Apple (AAPL) and Facebook (FB). Soaring interest rates has amplified volatility across the tech sector, amid expectations of higher borrowing costs weighing on growth companies.
Incrementally more positive news on the COVID-19 vaccine front also emerged. Shares of Novavax (NVAX) jumped more than 6% intraday Friday after a final analysis of the drugmaker's COVID-19 vaccine trial in the UK showed the inoculation was 96.4% effective against mild, moderate and severe diseases caused by the original coronavirus. Analyses also showed the vaccine was 86.3% effective against the variant of the coronavirus circulating in the UK, and 55.4% effective against the variant circulating in South Africa.
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10:47 a.m. ET: Dow, Nasdaq trade places
The broader market is now underwater but tech stocks are staging a recovery in early U.S. dealings. The Dow had opened to the upside and set a marginal new record, but investors appear to be taking some of those profits off the table.
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10:10 a.m. ET: The global reflation trade is heating up energy prices
An increasingly familiar refrain over the last several weeks has been the price of gas, which has crept steadily toward $3 per gallon on average. Consumers, now flush with stimulus cash, are grousing over the rising cost of filling up their cars — and they should look no further than crude (CL=F), which fell on Monday but is up over $20 year-to-date.
In a morning note to clients, Bank of America expects Brent to hover around current levels, but notes that "prices may soon test supply/demand elasticities, so a sustained rally may have to wait for demand to recover more broadly."
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9:45 a.m. ET: AMC jumps on news CA theaters will reopen
One of the crown jewels in the meme stock trade, AMC, is spiking by nearly 20% in early dealings — but this time because of fundamental reasons. With lockdowns in California gradually easing, AMC is preparing to reopen nearly all of its 56 locations in the Golden State this week. The Wall Street Bets retail traders that crowded into the stock have sent it on a tear, up a staggering 426% this year through Friday’s close.
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9:31 a.m. ET: Stocks rally at the open: Dow flirts with 33K
Here's where markets were trading Monday morning after the opening bell:
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S&P 500 (^GSPC): 3,945.80, +2.46 (+0.06%)
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Dow (^DJI): 32,869.72, +91.08 (+0.28%)
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Nasdaq (^IXIC): 13,315.81, -4.06(-0.03%)
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Crude (CL=F): $65.57 per barrel, -0.04 (-0.06%)
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Gold (GC=F): $1,728.40 per ounce, +8.60(+0.50%)
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10-year Treasury (^TNX): flat, yielding 1.6350
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8:30 a.m. ET: Manufacturing sector flexes muscle
The Empire State manufacturing survey's rose, checking in at a better-than-expected 17.4 in March. Peering deeper into the data, economists noted a mixed outlook from survey participants as shipments rose but new orders and employment moderating.
According to JPMorgan's Daniel Silver:
The recent firming in the survey is broadly consistent with the idea that the manufacturing sector is picking up as the drag from COVID-19 fades, although the broad set of survey data looks mixed and the link between the surveys and hard activity readings is loose. We will be getting additional March business survey data in the coming days and weeks.
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7:30 a.m. ET Monday: Stock futures point to a mixed open as tech stocks drop
Here's where markets were trading Friday morning:
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S&P 500 futures (ES=F): 3,947.00, +4.75 (+0.12%)
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Dow futures (YM=F): 32,858.00, +86.00 (+0.26%)
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Nasdaq futures (NQ=F): 12,954.75, +21.25 (+0.16%)
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Crude (CL=F): $65.57 per barrel, -0.04 (-0.06%)
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Gold (GC=F): $1,728.40 per ounce, +8.60(+0.50%)
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10-year Treasury (^TNX): flat, yielding 1.6350
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Javier David is an editor for Yahoo Finance. Follow Javier on Twitter: @TeflonGeek
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The Link LonkMarch 15, 2021 at 06:49PM
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-news-live-updates-march-15-2021-231228213-114929220.html
Stock market news live updates: Dow eyes fresh record but tech struggles; AMC roars - Yahoo Finance
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